The possibility of predicting the risk of developing constitutionally exogenous obesity in children
ORIGINAL PAPERS
Abstract
Introduction.Taking into account the importance of the problem of obesity in children, the pronounced tendency to an increase in the disease and its complications, which become independent diseases already in childhood, there is a need to develop primary prevention of constitutionally exogenous obesity. The practical realization of this task is possible by creating a mathematical model of the risk of developing constitutionally exogenous obesity. The use of the prognostic table will make it possible to identify children at riskfor obesity in a timely manner and carry out preventive measures.The aim of the studyis to establish risk factors and their prognostic significance for the development of constitutionally exogenous obesity in children.Materials and methods.In the course of a retrospective study, the medical documentation (registration forms 112/y and 003/y) of 372 children (186 with constitutionally exogenous obesity and 186 in the control group) was studied.Results.A retrospective analysis of medical materials allowed us to identify 41 risk factors for the development of constitutionally exogenous obesity. The risk factors include the child’s complaints of increased appetite, outstripping the pace of physical development from birth, as well as hereditary, anamnestic and social risk factors.Conclusion.The study made it possible to identify risk factors for obesity in children and calculate their prognostic value.
References
1. Сафонова Н.А. Ожирение как социальное явление. Молодой ученый. 2018;16(202):276–278.
2. WHO European Regional Obesity Report; (Report on the problem of obesity in the WHO European Region, 2022). WHO Regional Office for Europe. Copenhagen; 2022: 70. Доступно по: https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/353747/9789289057738-eng.pdf (дата обращения: 21.05.2025).
3. Российский статистический ежегодник. Росстат; 2023: 701. Доступно по: https://rosstat.gov.ru/storage/mediabank/Ejegodnik_2023.pdf (дата обращения: 05.09.2025).
4. Петеркова В.А., Безлепкина О.В., Болотова Н.В. и др.. Клинические рекомендации «Ожирение у детей». Проблемы эндокринологии. 2021;67(5):67–83. https://doi.org/10.14341/probl12802.
5. Драпкина О.М., Концевая А.В., Калинина А.М. и др. Коморбидность пациентов с хроническими неинфекционными заболеваниями в практике врача-терапевта. Евразийское руководство. Кардиоваскулярная терапия и профилактика. 2024;23(3):3996. https://doi.org/10.15829/1728-8800-2024-3996.
6. Цыбикова Э.Б., Кайгородова Т.В., Котловский М.Ю. Ожирение у детей и его осложнения — современное состояние и проблемы: аналитический обзор. Социальные аспекты здоровья населения. 2025;71(3):7. https://doi.org/10.21045/2071-5021-2025-71-3-7.
7. Новикова И.И., Романенко С.П., Лобкис М.А., Гавриш С.М., Семенихина М.В., Сорокина А.В., Шевкун И.Г. Оценка факторов риска избыточной массы тела и ожирения у детей школьного возраста для разработки действенных программ профилактики. Science for Education Today. 2022;12(3):132–148. https://doi.org/10.15293/2658-6762.2203.07.
8. Гублер Е.В. Информатика в патологии, клинической медицине и педиатрии. -Л.: Медицина: Ленинградский отдел. 1990;175(1):176.
9. Кульбак С. Теория информации и статистика. М.: Наука; 1967: 217.
10. Chen H., Feng Y., Chen C., Yu S. Both early and late maternal age at childbirth is associated with increasing odds of central obesity in offspring. Am J Hum Biol. 2023;35(8):e23898. https://doi.org/10.1002/ajhb.23898.
